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Bad Break Likely to Cost U.S. Women Soccer Gold

July 17th, 2008 · 2 Comments · Olympics, soccer

Abby Wambach is to U.S. women’s soccer what Mick Jagger is to the Rolling Stones: Take them out of the mix, and it’s hardly a functioning unit.

Wambach means more to her team than any athlete on any significant sports franchise anywhere. She is that good, and the rest of her teammates are that ordinary.

Which makes Wambach’s awful injury Wednesday night in San Diego (both the main bones in her lower leg were fractured) probably a death blow for the U.S. women’s hopes for Olympic gold in Beijing next month.

Someone will take her place in the lineup; no one will actually replace her.

I’m trying to come up with an athlete who means as much to his or her team. And having a very difficult time with it.

Albert Pujols and the St. Louis Cardinals, maybe? Peyton Manning and the Indianapolis Colts? Kobe Bryant and the Los Angeles Lakers?

Michael Jordan and the Bulls, once upon a time. That may be the most apt comparison to Wambach and U.S. soccer.

Wambach is the source of most of the U.S. women’s offense. If not scoring (10 goals this year) she is assisting (13, this year). At all times, she is the beast with whom the opposition must contend. The one woman who frightens every team everywhere.

Wambach is amazingly agile and fast considering she almost always is the biggest woman on the pitch. She is listed at 5-foot-11. Her weight is not given by the U.S. Soccer Federation (a routine omission that reflects lingering weirdness about women’s weights, even among elite athletes), but it has to be close to 200 pounds. She was going to be the bull in the China tournament, as she always is. Someone who strikes fear into the opposition when she takes the field.

Soccer pioneer Michelle Akers was a strapping woman, and a critical player for the U.S. team in the 1990s, but she had more help around her than does Wambach. Akers had Mia Hamm, Julie Foudy, Christine Lilly, etc.

Wambach’s helpers come and go and often are erratic.

Consider these statistic from the 2008 national team player pool:

Wambach has 99 goals in 127 appearances with the national team. A rate of .78 goals per game.

That puts her miles ahead of the next most productive scorers with any significant national-team significance. Natasha Kai, at .38 goals per appearance (20 in 52 games) and Carli Lloyd, at .27 goals per game (17 in 64) are the distant second and third in scoring proficiency.

And even those statistics may be a little misleading. We also can safely surmise that goals by anyone who isn’t Wambach were likely to have been scored in blowouts over inferior teams … games in which Wambach left early or perhaps didn’t even play. Games of the sort that her likely replacement, UCLA junior Lauren Cheney, has spent most of her limited international career in.

To lose Wambach for the Olympics is a disaster. Especially for the women’s side of U.S. soccer, which has no meaningful club system to sustain interest in the sport between big events. The women have their World Cup the year before each Summer Games, and then they have the Olympics, which is essentially just as big as the World Cup … and then it’s two years of, basically, nothing.

Hard to imagine the U.S. team winning gold without her.

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2 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Guy McCarthy // Jul 17, 2008 at 1:39 PM

    You might remember back in ’99 when I got one of the Sun city-side editors to let me go cover the women’s team practice over in Claremont, before the World Cup. News feature for the A section.

    Kids were screaming all over the U.S. for the ladies, sports editors got it but some news editors hadn’t caught on to the story yet. Hundreds came out that first day in Claremont.

    I remember how small some of the best players were, especially Lilly. She saved their butts in the final at the Rose Bowl too, heading a goal-bound shot off the line.

    But I also remember the sight of Danielle Fotopoulos at that practice. She had legs like trunks and looked big enough all around to take several men to the woodshed.

    Point is, you’re right. Size matters in women’s soccer. The US team is definitely now missing its most dominant player.

    But I think they still have a good chance to put on a display of entertaining attacking ball. And women’s football is like men’s – it’s always a game of inches and any given player can all of sudden run into a rich vein of form to surprise at the highest level.

    Your dire forecast only furthers their underdog status now. Everybody likes to pull for the underdog.

    Go Lady Gators!

  • 2 Joseph D'Hippolito // Jul 18, 2008 at 2:43 PM

    Sorry, Paul, but I disagree profoundly with your dire forecast. While Wambach certainly was a pivotal player, Pia Sundhage has restructured the team around possession and passing, which means that Amy Rodriguez and Aly Wagner will get far more of a chance to shine than they did under Greg Ryan’s punt-the-ball-to-Abby approach. Besides, the defense remains intact (Whitehill likely wasn’t going to see much action even if she hadn’t torn her ACL) — and that’s where games are won and lost. Just ask the Galaxy.

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